Friday, February 12, 2010
Do You Have A Back Up Plan?
Saturday, January 23, 2010
Big profits from Currency Trading
“The art of contrary” thinking is one of the most powerful tools a trader can use, and is a trait with which all true great traders are familiar with.
What is the Art of Contrary Thinking?
Humphrey Neill’s book, "the art of contrary thinking,” the best known work on the subject, is based on a simple powerful idea that:
"When everybody thinks alike, everybody is likely to be wrong"
“The art of contrary” thinking consists in training your mind to ruminate in directions opposite to general public opinions; but basing your opinion in the light of current events and human behavior”.
Why Contrary Trading Works
By spotting situations when the consensus of a currency is either extremely bullish or bearish, means that a trend change is imminent, as it is likely the emotions of greed and fear have pushed prices too far away from true value.
If you can step aside from the crowd and take a contrary view at these turning points, you can make big currency trading profits. Contrary thinking can be used in any market and is highly effective in currencies.
Contrary thinking can be used to make really big currency trading profits and if used selectively, when markets are extremely over bought or oversold, you can be in right at the start of the trend for maximum profitability.
In any currency you look at - The Yen, Euro, British Pound Swiss Franc Canadian or Australian dollar and many others, there are always occasions where a currency trend in the news is forecast to continue, due to overwhelming evidence in its favor and it then promptly collapses!
Big profits from currency trading can therefore be made by using the art of contrary thinking when the market is extremely bullish or bearish.
Why? Because everyone who has bought has taken positions and there are no buyers left. Prices have moved away from fair value. When there is no more buying to enter the market, a trend change is imminent.
It is clear that to succeed and make big profits in currency trading you need to think independently of the majority at important market turning points.
You can make big profits in currency trading from trend following, but you can with a little practice spot potential turning points in currencies as well which will help you bank profits, tighten stops or open new trades right on the turn, for maximum profitability.
Contrary trading will not only make you big profits in currency trading but in ANY market and has worked for centuries, as human nature never changes.
Wednesday, December 23, 2009
Believing these Six Myths will Slash Your Currency Trading Profits
Ninety percent of currency traders believe at least one or more of these myths - which explains why ninety percent of traders don’t make much profit by trading currencies!
1. You should always be in the Market in Case you Miss a Move
Traders love excitement, and their view is, if they are in the market they may catch the big move. Well they may - but chances are they won’t.
The big trends only come a few times a year in each currency - and you should stay out the market until they come, otherwise you will take losses, and run up commissions that will deplete your account.
Wait for the big trades - patience is a virtue in trading.
2. Diversification Reduces Risk, and Increases Profit Potential
Diversification simply dilutes your profits.
You hit a big move, and your other trades that lose, or give you only marginal profits, eat up all your currency-trading profits.
You need to have confidence to go for the big moves, when they occur, and load up these trades.
Currency trading is about calculated risks - if the trade looks good, hit it hard for big profits.
3. Day Trading is Better than Long Term Trend Following, as it’s Less Risky.
Many brokers spread this myth - and why not? - They make more commission if you believe it!
You will end up having more losses than profits in your trading. You will never make enough money in a day to cover your inevitable losses. When you add in commission and slippage, it’s inevitable that you will lose.
You need to hold longer-term trends, as these yield the big profits to cover your smaller losses.
4. Timing the Market is the Correct Way to Make Profits
Timing the market means you are trying to PREDICT where prices are going to top and bottom - this is not a good way to trade and the odds are against you.
A better way to trade is to wait for the market to CONFIRM a trend is under way, and jump on board. You may not buy the bottom or sell the high, but you can catch the major chunk in between - and with currency trends lasting for many months or years, you can still get plenty of profits from the trend.
5. Markets are the Same Today as they Were Hundreds of Years Ago
Rubbish! Trends now are much more volatile than they were even 50 years ago. Why? Today, with the Internet, price information reaches every corner of the globe in a split second. This increases volatility as everyone has the same information at once - and everyone tries to enter the market at the same time.
This was not the case even 50 years ago - the trends are still there, but volatility is much higher - traders get the direction of the trend right, but they find themselves stopped out by the volatility. How often has this happened to you? - It happens to all traders. Look at using options to give you staying power.
6. You can use a Black Box System to Make Money
You can buy a system from a vendor for a few thousand dollars - and it can make 50 to 100% profit per annum.
These systems normally have a hypothetical track record - and use price information where the results are already known, and of course, the logic of the system remains hidden from you - as it’s unlikely to have a sound basis.
Have you ever wondered why these vendors sell systems, when they could simply get a bank loan and trade their own systems?
Enough said on this one!
How about some Positive Advice?
If you want to make big currency trading profits, you need to do it for yourself.
Get a plan you have confidence in, and execute the plan with discipline - and have the courage to trade for large gains when they occur.
Good luck!
Tuesday, December 8, 2009
Accepting Losses With Grace
Why do they torture themselves? Why don’t they just identify what’s going wrong and make a change? For some people recognizing that a trade or even a trading method is not working and making a change is easy, but for others it’s very difficult. They have to look at their limitations admit that they have made a mistake and that’s hard because it hurts our ego. Psychologically it’s risky, it’s often easier to fool ourselves. Just keep going, living in a state of denial until your account is depleted. If you recognize any of these traits in yourself you must stop trading immediately.
Take a good look at what has been happening, try and identify the problem. If you look close enough you may see a pattern. This is why it is vital to record every trade and as much information about it as possible. You have to break out of old patterns and see things in a new light.
You will never be a successful trader if you continue to live in a state of denial. What can be done to return to reality? There is a lot you can do. First of all make sure you are not trading under stress. When stressed out you can’t see clearly, you become rigid and unable to see alternative views. One of the easiest solutions is to trade smaller. The smaller the trade the less the stress, especially for the beginner. If you are experienced and in a loosing streak reduce your contracts until you get your confidence returns. Some people need to take a break altogether. Get away from it all. Take your mind off the trading.
The second thing you can do is to make sure you have a life. Trading can be addictive especially when you are winning. Do not put all your emotional eggs in the trading basket. You need to have other roles that give your life meaning and purpose. By defining your identity in a variety of ways, you will not place un-natural importance on trading events. Therefore, you will be able to take losses in stride and look at your trading more objectively.
Finally, radical acceptance is a key mental strategy for coping with market uncertainty. Many traders make the mistake of thinking they can control the markets. Nobody can control the markets. We must learn to accept anything that comes our way and to trade accordingly. Adopt the attitude that trading is a journey and that all we can do is go where the markets take us.
To succeed on this journey you cannot afford to lose too much. Manage risk and just accept what you get and enjoy the ride. This way you will trade more freely and creatively. Don’t live your life in denial. Accept your limitations, work around them, and become a winning trader. Write out your trading plan with precise entry and exit points. Most important set your stops and mentally decide you will not break them. Test your system on paper and when confident test in real time with the minimum contract size. You will have losing trades, accept them with grace and go on to the next trade.
Tuesday, December 1, 2009
Forex : How To Handle A String Of Investment Losses
Bring to light these self-destructive actions that can help you realize what you are doing before it takes hold of your physical health. If you find yourself already engaged in these patterns hopefully this article can help you to get you back on track as quickly as possible.
What are the destructive patterns?
If you find yourself caught in a string of losses or a bad performing week/month be sure to monitor your behavior. It is during this time that you will be at your most vulnerable. You will begin to indulge in activities that at first seem harmless, but upon excessive use (or in time), begin to cause physical damage to your health.
Ask yourself the following question: during drawdown periods do I find myself over-indulging in these activities:
Food (especially junk food - e.g. chocolate, ice-cream, chips)?
Sex (includes viewing pornography)?
Alcohol?
Drugs (includes excessive smoking)?
Laziness (find it difficult to wake up in the morning)?
Entertainment?
All of the above taken in excessive doses can be detrimental to your own physical health (some even in small doses!).
These activities above during your losing period are only covering up the pain of confronting the true issue, and your body tries to rid the emotional pain by trying to "fix" it with physical pleasures. Unfortunately it is going about it in the wrong way, so what should you do?
Firstly... REALIZE WHAT YOU ARE DOING AND STOP IT!
You need to realize what you're doing and you need to STOP doing it immediately! You can either decide to stop, or you'll be forced to stop when your body eventually breaks down and prevents you from any form of movement. It will be much more beneficial to you in the long-term if you can decide to stop *NOW*.
Once you have stopped you now need to figure out a way to solve the pain - not by cutting out or neglecting it, but by staring it in the face. Bring your problems out into the light, be honest with yourself. There can be no growth without pain; you are experiencing the emotional pain, now it is time to find the error and therefore your growth.
Begin Your Review
The review process begins in two separate areas: You & Your System. Here are some checklists for you to go through to find out where the problem could lie:
"YOUR SYSTEM" CHECKLIST
Was your system thoroughly tested prior to trading it (or paper traded if you do not have the capacity to program your system into back testing software)?
Did you test with out-of-sample data?
Do you even have a system???? If you do not, how do you even know if the method that you are trading is even profitable??
Is your system's code correct?
Did you over-optimize your system? (What have we discussed about over-indulging?)
Did you paper trade your system prior to placing capital on it?
Did you trade with a small amount of capital prior to placing the rest of your funds on it?
Do you know the system's limitations?
Did you properly drill your system? (See our blog article on why I am the system designer from hell)
"YOU" CHECKLIST
Is the current drawdown you are exhibiting with your system normal?
Are you comfortable with your system's historical drawdown performance?
Are you fully aware of the risks involved with your system and the instrument(s) you are trading?
Are you trading with funds that you are comfortable risking?
Are you relying too heavily on your performance?
Have you set realistic goals?
As you can see there are generally two areas that you need to explore: the mechanical aspect - your system - and the emotional aspect - you. Both can be responsible for making the way you feel the way you do. It will either be an error on the system's side with how the system was tested and/or programmed, or it can be your own psychological profile not being comfortable with the system's performance.
Your Answers = Change = Your Growth
What steps should we now take? Now that we have begun a corrective process where we have stopped the evil nature of our over-indulging ways to take control we should continue our "corrective nature" by invoking our findings and taking ACTION in correcting our errors.
If the problem was mechanical - fix it, if the problem was emotional either go about setting up new thought patterns, or change your current system. The answers lie in whether you need to expand your knowledge in system development, or whether you need to grow emotionally as a person.
Unfortunately there is no easy road, and even if there was everybody would be doing it. Hopefully this article has made you ponder over some of your behaviors during drawdown periods, be sure to keep an eye on yourself and as always take care of your body, because there's no use in making all the money in the world when you don't have the physical capacity to enjoy it
Wednesday, August 12, 2009
Forex Trading - How Does One Begin Fx Trading?
Forex trading involves transacting in the world's largest and most liquid financial market. In forex market you buy and sell currencies with the hope of making profits. Like any other market you make money whenever you buy low and sell high.
Forex traders buy currency expecting its value to rise. If you profit from your forex transactions you get back your initial investment plus the profit amount. Trading of any sort being speculative in nature, may translate into losses too. In case of losses you lose part or whole of your invested amount
In forex market currencies are traded in pairs. A forex transaction involves buying one currency and selling another at the same time. The most commonly traded currency pairs in the forex market are U S Dollar/Great Britain Pound, U S Dollar/Japanese Yen, U S Dollar/Swiss Francs, and Great Britain Pound /U S Dollar.
To learn forex trading there are a number of options available for you to choose from. You can enroll for forex classroom training or for online forex trading courses. You can also hire forex brokers and analysts to guide you initially. Before you start trading in real accounts in a live environment, you must practice forex trading in dummy accounts.
It would also be worthwhile for you to use automated forex trading robots. These robots are programmed to make trading decisions and trade on your behalf whenever an opportunity to trade arises. Irrespective of your physical presence the robot will carry out your transactions through and through.
Once you possess a reasonable level of understanding of the basics of forex trading, keep track of all fundamental and technical developments of the forex market. Make sure to keep yourself informed of any major international news or event which may impact currency prices. Another useful method to stay informed is to participate in online currency forums to exchange information and discuss issues with other traders.
Do you want to start forex trading online ? Get started by using some of the best automated forex trading systems that allow you to master the currency trading tips quickly. To know more about these systems visit by clicking - Auto Forex Trading
Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Ian_Drew
The Best Trading Forex Robot For Consistent Profits
A trading forex robot is a software program that automatically enters and exits trades in the forex market with the intention of turning a profit. Many traders witch to these systems because they are tired of the hassle of manual trading. When trading manually you have to spend countless hours each day monitoring the market, and you also have to spend countless hours staying up to date on your current trades. A trading forex robot takes the hassle of out having to do this, but still allows you to take advantage of the income potential of the forex market.
I would like to show you which robot is the best, but before that we should look at why this robot is the best.
Many forex robots only come with one way to trade. They follow one specific set of rules, no matter how the market conditions are, and they are designed to trade very currency pair. This is a big problem because the market is constantly changing from day to day, and every currency pair is traded differently. The best trading forex robot is different, it constantly receives updates from forex experts who are monitoring the forex market 24/7.
Also with this robot, you are getting four robots in one. It installs as one robot, but there are four different sets of rules within the system that trade four different major currency pairs. This approach, in combination with the frequent updates, is making this forex robot one of the most profitable to ever hit the market. So which trading forex robot am I talking about?
The best forex robot is the Ivybot. You can get a detailed review of this robot and see how it stacks up against the competition at Daily Forex Information.
This robot truly is one of a kind, and I really hope it makes you as much money as it made me!
Good Luck Fellow Traders!
Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Scott_B_Price
